The Nobel Peace Prize is awarded by Norwegian socialists, so President Trump's forever a long shot. AP reporter Mark Lewis penned a dismissive article headlined "Why experts say Trump is unlikely to win the Nobel Peace Prize this year."
What would we do without experts? "Longtime Nobel watchers say Trump’s prospects remain remote despite a flurry of high-profile nominations and some notable foreign policy interventions for which he has taken personal credit."
Trump can't resist globalist designs, and expect globalist awards. "Experts say the Norwegian Nobel Committee typically focuses on the durability of peace, the promotion of international fraternity and the quiet work of institutions that strengthen those goals. Trump’s own record might even work against him, they said, citing his apparent disdain for multilateral institutions and his disregard for global climate change concerns."
The Nobel committee gave a prize to Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev, but not to Ronald Reagan. Republicans haven't been honored since Henry Kissinger in 1973. Al Gore and Jimmy Carter won the prize.
Lewis noted the Nobel committee faced "fierce criticism" (from conservatives) when they gave the Peace Prize to President Obama in 2009 in his first months in office. But they can still dismiss Trump's work in negotiating peace.
Nobel veterans say the committee prioritizes sustained, multilateral efforts over quick diplomatic wins. Theo Zenou, a historian and research fellow at the Henry Jackson Society, said Trump’s efforts have not yet been proven to be long-lasting.
“There’s a huge difference between getting fighting to stop in the short-term and resolving the root causes of the conflict,” Zenou said.
Zenou also highlighted Trump’s dismissive stance on climate change as out-of-step with what many, including the Nobel committee, see as the planet’s greatest long-term peace challenge.
“I don’t think they would award the most prestigious prize in the world to someone who does not believe in climate change,” Zenou said. “When you look at previous winners who have been bridge-builders, embodied international cooperation and reconciliation: These are not words we associate with Donald Trump.”
Plus Trump is supposed to never talk about winning the prize.
Trump’s own outspokenness about possibly winning the award might work against him: The committee won’t want to be seen as caving in to political pressure, said Nina Græger, director of the Peace Research Institute Oslo.
Trump’s prospects for the prize this year are “a long shot,” she said. “His rhetoric does not point in a peaceful perspective.”
