Scott Rasmussen

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Sixty-six percent of Americans believe that the Fourth of July is one of our nation's most important holidays. To celebrate, 62% of Americans will watch fireworks, 54% will enjoy a cookout with family and friends, 19% will attend a parade, 13% will go to the beach, and 11% will sing patriotic songs. Only 6% will read the document that started it all: the Declaration of Independence. And to be honest, many probably mix up the declaration and the Constitution. But the vast majority continue to embrace the core ideals expressed in our nation's founding document. 



For more than a generation, James Carville's campaign maxim, "It's the economy, stupid," has been held up as an essential truth of American politics. There's no denying that a strong economy is an incumbent president's best friend. Seventy-three percent of voters currently rate the economy as a very important issue. As a result, if the economy remains strong for another 1 1/2 years, many analysts believe President Donald Trump will be favored to win reelection. On the other hand, if a recession hits next year, we will almost certainly have a new president in 2021.



There was a time when health care technology meant expensive new machines that only hospitals could afford. The costs were so enormous that only insurance companies could pay for their use and insurance bureaucrats only grudgingly allowed people to get needed tests and treatment. Today, however, tech is putting health care tools in the hands of individual Americans at amazingly reasonable costs. The transformation brought about by the new technology will fundamentally disrupt every aspect of the health care industry.



From the moment former Vice President Joe Biden threw his hat in the ring, he has been the dominant front-runner in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. That status was confirmed in the most recent ScottRasmussen.com poll of the race, showing Biden with 39% of vote and a 19-point lead. His nearest challenger -- Sen. Bernie Sanders -- attracted just 20% support, and nobody else reached double digits. But in a party that has become younger and more racially diverse, it's never seemed likely that two white men over 70 would have the field to themselves.



Fifty-three percent of voters believe political corruption is a crisis in the United States, while another 36% believe it is a significant problem but not a crisis. That's consistent with other ScottRasmussen.com polling data showing that 87% of voters nationwide believe corruption is widespread in the federal government. Solid majorities believe there is also corruption in state (70%) and local (57%) government



Despite the fact that they are currently bitter opponents, there are a lot of reasons to believe Donald Trump and Ted Cruz could end up working together in the fall campaign.



After June 7, we will see what I call the Primary of the Unbound Delegates.



Donald Trump's lead in the Republican race is real, but far from secure. At the moment, the billionaire has 458 delegates and Ted Cruz has 359. That's a 99 delegate lead with more than 1,400 delegates still to be selected. Cruz has plenty of room to come from behind if he's able to defeat Trump in a head-to-head match-up.



The race for the Republican presidential nomination has a long way to go, and it's still quite possible that some candidate other than Donald Trump will be nominated. But, to the shock of many, it’s also possible that Trump could move into the White House next year.



This past Tuesday, I had my first ride in an autonomous car. The anticipation for me was a bit like a kid waiting for Christmas. But when I shared my enthusiasm with friends and colleagues, many thought I was crazy.



As the absurdity of our presidential nomination process adds daily to public cynicism about politics and government, it's encouraging to recognize that governing is not the responsibility of government alone.



What the Super Bowl can teach us about the primary election process, and the guy or gal we root for in the big game in November.



Robert Laszewski may be the nation's leading expert on President Obama's health care law. He is skeptical of the claims made by both supporters and opponents of the law, and he offers an interesting take about the law's role in the 2016 election: "Democrats can't admit Obamacare is broken and Republicans can't admit it won't be repealed."



As Senator Ted Cruz has become a serious contender for the Republican presidential nominating contest, he's facing greater scrutiny and opposition. That's to be expected. Some of the opposition is fairly traditional. Iowa's governor just attacked Cruz for opposing ethanol subsidies. Cruz opposes the subsidies because he doesn't believe the federal government should be picking business winners and losers. Politically, that's a big deal in a state where corn is a major crop and those federal subsidies prop up the price of corn.



"[The World War II] generation's extraordinary faith in the federal government was a temporary aberration brought about by unique circumstances. Their world no longer exists, and the political system it created is collapsing around us. Our challenge now is to rebuild a political system that recognizes the inability of the federal government to lead our nation." – Scott Rasmussen



Two items in the news this week highlighted a reality that politicians hate to admit. While they pretend to lead the nation, they are not in charge.



Heading into a presidential election year, it's important to remember that political involvement is but one of many ways we can work together to solve problems. Sometimes it's the best approach; sometimes it's not. When our political system is broken beyond repair — as it is today — there's a need for other approaches in order to do the heavy lifting. To solve the challenges before our nation, we need to take an all-hands-on-board approach that unleashes the creativity and resources of individual Americans, families, community groups, churches, small businesses, local governments, and more. The problems we face are too big to be left to the politicians alone.



It's been amusing in recent weeks to watch Washington pundits grappling with Trumpmania and the surge of Bernie Sanders. To say that the rise of these unusual candidates has been unsettling for the political elites would be a gross understatement.



What's behind the huge premium increases on the Obamacare exchanges?

Supporters and opponents offer wildly different explanations and theories. They all pore over the data and get into the details of who is signing up, what the risk pools look like and other things actuaries find exciting



When the South lost the Civil War, new opposition arose to the nation's founding ideals. Progressives of the late 19th and early 20th centuries were OK with the idea of equality, but they hated the idea of individual rights that limited the power of government. Sounding a lot like Calhoun, President Woodrow Wilson complained that the American people had never gotten over the Declaration. Both the segregationists and the progressives saw the Declaration of Independence as an impediment to their plans.