
The day before Thanksgiving brought encouraging news on unemployment. CBS News.com
reported "New Jobless Claims Plunge to 466K." Investors.com
headlined "Jobless Claims Dive To 466,000." CNN Money.com
issued a special report titled "Jobless claims plummet to 14-month low." And the Financial Times
included a link to the Calculated Risk blog
article "Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decline Sharply."
Such good news, reported widely throughout the media, doubtless gave hope to many Americans. If some of them wished to attribute this dramatic turnaround to Barack Obama's stimulus program, so much the better. The truth, however, is that improvement in the number of jobless claims was less than electrifying. The numbers touted in the media
are, according to the Department of Labor, "seasonally adjusted" with a statistical technique designed to accommodate fluctuations in the job market. Set that aside, and the numbers are not nearly as rosy. As DOL's Employment and Training Administration reported:
The advance number of actual initial claims under state programs, unadjusted, totaled 543,926 in the week ending Nov. 21, an increase of 68,080 from the previous week.